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  \textbf{\Large{\textsc{STANFORD UNIVERSITY}}}\\[5pt]
  \textbf{\Large{\textsc{DEPARTMENT OF STATISTICS}}}\\[5pt]
  \Large{\textsc{DEPARTMENTAL SEMINAR}}
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  4:15 p.m., Tuesday, June 3, 2008\\
  Sequoia Hall Room 200\\
  (Cookies at 3:45 in 1st Floor Lounge)
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  \textsl{Martin E. Hellman} \\
  Professor Emeritus of Electrical Engineering\\
  Stanford University
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  \subsection*{  Risk Analysis of Nuclear Deterrence  }
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\noindent
Especially in recent years, whenever perturbations on our nuclear weapons posture are proposed they are rejected as too risky. Which raises a question that, surprisingly, has never been answered: “How risky is our current posture?” This talk explores that question and presents preliminary evidence that the risk is several orders of magnitude larger than is compatible with society’s attraction to the status quo. The speaker therefore has issued an urgent call for in-depth risk analysis studies to either confirm or correct his preliminary analysis. This call has been endorsed by two Nobel Laureates, Stanford’s President Emeritus, one of the nation’s top former intelligence officers, and several other individuals of distinction. See NuclearRisk.org/statement.php for details. 


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